Planetary systems

arXiv:2504.14228v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The phosphorus budget of planets is intertwined with their formation history and is thought to influence their habitability. The chemical reservoirs and volatile \emph{vs} refractory budget of phosphorus in planet-forming environments have so far eluded empirical characterisation. We employ high-resolution spectra from HST/STIS in the ultraviolet and APEX in the sub-mm to constrain the phosphorus budget in the well-characterized HD\,100546 star and protoplanetary disk system. We measure $\log{(P/H)_{\star}}=-7.50^{+0.23}_{-0.28}$ on the stellar surface, which traces the total inventory of P in accreting gas \emph{and }dust from the inner disk. The inner disk gas, inside of the main dust trap, has $\log{(P/H)_{\rm in}}\lesssim-8.70$, and the outer disk gas $\log{(P/H)_{\rm out}}\lesssim-9.30$. Phosphorus in the disk is carried by a relatively refractory reservoir, consistent with minerals such as apatite or schreibersite, or with ammonium phosphate salts, in terms of sublimation temperature. We discuss the impact this might have on the two protoplanets around HD\,100546. Our results contribute to our understanding of the chemical habitability of planetary systems and lay a foundation for future explorations, especially in the context of JWST and \emph{Ariel} which can study phosphorus in exoplanet atmospheres.

arXiv:2504.12209v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: One notable example of exoplanet diversity is the population of circumbinary planets, which orbit around both stars of a binary star system. There are so far only 16 known circumbinary exoplanets, all of which lie in the same orbital plane as the host binary. Suggestions exist that circumbinary planets could also exist on orbits highly inclined to the binary, close to 90$^{\circ}$, polar orbits. No such planets have been found yet but polar circumbinary gas and debris discs have been observed and if these were to form planets then those would be left on a polar orbit. We report strong evidence for a polar circumbinary exoplanet, which orbits a close pair of brown dwarfs which are on an eccentric orbit. We use radial-velocities to measure a retrograde apsidal precession for the binary, and show that this can only be attributed to the presence of a polar planet.

arXiv:2504.12030v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Energy limits that delineate the `habitable zone' for exoplanets depend on a given exoplanet's net planetary albedo (or `Bond albedo'). We here demonstrate that the planetary albedo of an observed exoplanet is limited by the above-cloud atmosphere - the region of the atmosphere that is probed in remote observation. We derive an analytic model to explore how the maximum planetary albedo depends on the above-cloud optical depth and scattering versus absorbing properties, even in the limit of a perfectly reflective grey cloud layer. We apply this framework to sub-Neptune K2-18b, for which a high planetary albedo has recently been invoked to argue for the possibility of maintaining a liquid water ocean surface, despite K2-18b receiving an energy flux from its host star that places it inside of its estimated `habitable zone' inner edge. We use a numerical multiple-scattering line-by-line radiative transfer model to retrieve the albedo of K2-18b based on the observational constraints from the above-cloud atmosphere. Our results demonstrate that K2-18b's observed transmission spectrum already restricts its possible planetary albedo to values below the threshold required to be potentially habitable, with the data favouring a median planetary albedo of 0.17-0.18. Our results thus reveal that currently characteriseable sub-Neptunes are likely to be magma-ocean or gas-dwarf worlds. The methods that we present are generally applicable to constrain the planetary albedo of any exoplanet with measurements of its observable atmosphere, enabling the quantification of potential exoplanet habitability with current observational capabilities.

arXiv:2504.12267v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The sub-Neptune frontier has opened a new window into the rich diversity of planetary environments beyond the solar system. The possibility of hycean worlds, with planet-wide oceans and H$_2$-rich atmospheres, significantly expands and accelerates the search for habitable environments elsewhere. Recent JWST transmission spectroscopy of the candidate hycean world K2-18 b in the near-infrared led to the first detections of carbon-bearing molecules CH$_4$ and CO$_2$ in its atmosphere, with a composition consistent with predictions for hycean conditions. The observations also provided a tentative hint of dimethyl sulfide (DMS), a possible biosignature gas, but the inference was of low statistical significance. We report a mid-infrared transmission spectrum of K2-18 b obtained using the JWST MIRI LRS instrument in the ~6-12 $\mu$m range. The spectrum shows distinct features and is inconsistent with a featureless spectrum at 3.4-$\sigma$ significance compared to our canonical model. We find that the spectrum cannot be explained by most molecules predicted for K2-18 b with the exception of DMS and dimethyl disulfide (DMDS), also a potential biosignature gas. We report new independent evidence for DMS and/or DMDS in the atmosphere at 3-$\sigma$ significance, with high abundance ($\gtrsim$10 ppmv) of at least one of the two molecules. More observations are needed to increase the robustness of the findings and resolve the degeneracy between DMS and DMDS. The results also highlight the need for additional experimental and theoretical work to determine accurate cross sections of important biosignature gases and identify potential abiotic sources. We discuss the implications of the present findings for the possibility of biological activity on K2-18 b.

arXiv:2503.17364v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The detection of young transiting exoplanets represents a new frontier in our understanding of planet formation and evolution. For the population of observed close-in sub-Neptunes, two proposed formation pathways can reproduce their observed masses and radii at $\sim$Gyr ages: the "gas dwarf" hypothesis and the "water world" hypothesis. We show that a sub-Neptune's size at early ages $\lesssim 100$ Myrs is strongly dependent on the bulk mean molecular weight within its envelope. As a result, gas dwarfs and water worlds should diverge in size at early ages since the mean molecular weight of gas dwarf envelopes is predicted to be smaller than that of water worlds. We construct population models under both scenarios that reproduce Kepler demographics in the age range $\sim1-10$ Gyrs. We find tentative evidence that the gas dwarf model is more consistent with the small population of young exoplanets $< 40$ Myrs from TESS. We show that planet radius is relatively insensitive to planet mass for young, puffy sub-Neptunes, meaning that well-characterised masses are not necessarily required to exploit the effects of mean molecular weight at the population level. We confirm the predicted difference in planet size between the models is also true under mixed-envelope scenarios, in which envelopes consist of mixtures of hydrogen and steam. We highlight that transit surveys of young exoplanets should target the youngest observable stellar clusters to exploit the effects of mean molecular weight.

arXiv:2503.18127v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent JWST observations of the Fomalhaut debris disk have revealed a significant abundance of dust interior to the outer planetesimal belt, raising questions about its origin and maintenance. In this study, we apply an analytical model to the Fomalhaut system, that simulates the dust distribution interior to a planetesimal belt, as collisional fragments across a range of sizes are dragged inward under Poynting-Robertson (PR) drag. We generate spectral energy distributions and synthetic JWST/MIRI images of the model disks, and perform an extensive grid search for particle parameters -- pertaining to composition and collisional strength -- that best match the observations. We find that a sound fit can be found for particle properties that involve a substantial water ice component, around 50%--80% by total volume, and a catastrophic disruption threshold, $Q_D^\star$, at a particle size of $D\!\approx\!30\,$um of 2--4$\,\times\,10^6\,$erg/g. Based on the expected dynamical depletion of migrating dust by an intervening planet we discount planets with masses $>1\,M_\mathrm{Saturn}$ beyond $\sim50\,$au in the extended disk, though a planet shepherding the inner edge of the outer belt of up to $\sim2\,M_\mathrm{Saturn}$ is reconcilable with the PR-drag-maintained disk scenario, contingent upon higher collisional strengths. These results indicate that PR drag transport from the outer belt alone can account for the high interior dust contents seen in the Fomalhaut system, which may thus constitute a common phenomenon in other belt-bearing systems. This establishes a framework for interpreting mid-planetary system dust around other stars, with our results for Fomalhaut providing a valuable calibration of the models.

arXiv:2504.07182v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The IRAS01425+2902 wide binary system was recently reported to have both a young planet and a puzzling geometric arrangement, where the planet and binary both orbit edge-on, but misaligned by 60 deg to the circumprimary disc. This is the youngest transiting planet yet to be detected but its misalignment to the disc is difficult to explain. In this paper we explore the dissolution of an unstable triple system as a potential mechanism to produce this system. We simulate the effects of an ejection interaction in models using a highly inclined, retrograde flyby centred on the primary star of IRAS01425. The escaping star of ~0.35 solar masses inclines both the disc and binary orbits such that they have a relative misalignment of greater than 60 deg, as inferred from observations. The planet orbit also becomes inclined relative to the disc, and our interpretation predicts that the binary should have a highly eccentric orbit (e > 0.5 from our simulations). We additionally demonstrate that despite the high relative misalignment of the disc it is unlikely to be vulnerable to von Zeipel-Kozai-Lidov oscillations.

arXiv:2503.22990v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The search for life beyond the solar system is a central goal in exoplanetary science. Exoplanet surveys are increasingly detecting potentially habitable exoplanets and large telescopes in space and on ground are aiming to detect possible biosignatures in their atmospheres. At the same time, theoretical studies are expanding the range of habitable environments beyond the conventional focus on Earth-like rocky planets and biosignatures beyond the dominant biogenic gases in the Earth's atmosphere. The present work provides an introductory compendium of key aspects of habitability and biosignatures of importance to the search for life in exoplanetary environments. Basic concepts of planetary habitability are introduced along with essential requirements for life as we know it and the various factors that affect habitability. These include the requirement for liquid water, energy sources, bioessential elements, and geophysical environmental conditions conducive for life. The factors affecting habitability include both astrophysical conditions, such as those due to the host star, as well as planetary processes, such as atmospheric escape, magnetic interactions, and geological activity. A survey of different types of habitable environments possible in exoplanetary systems is presented. The notion of a biosignature is presented along with examples of biosignatures on Earth and their applicability to habitable environments in exoplanetary systems. The desired properties of an ideal biosignature are discussed, along with considerations of the environmental context and chemical disequilibria in the assessment of biosignatures in diverse environments. A discussion of current state-of-the-art and future prospects in the search for habitable conditions and biosignatures on exoplanets is presented.

arXiv:2503.22632v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Cometary impacts play an important role in the early evolution of Earth, and other terrestrial exoplanets. Here, we present a numerical model for the interaction of weak, low-density cometary impactors with planetary atmospheres, which includes semi-analytical parameterisations for the ablation, deformation, and fragmentation of comets. Deformation is described by a pancake model, as is appropriate for weakly cohesive, low-density bodies, while fragmentation is driven by the growth of Rayleigh-Taylor instabilities. The model retains sufficient computational simplicity to investigate cometary impacts across a large parameter space, and permits simple description of the key physical processes controlling the interaction of comets with the atmosphere. We apply our model to two case studies. First, we consider the cometary delivery of prebiotic feedstock molecules. This requires the survival of comets during atmospheric entry, which is determined by three parameters: the comet's initial radius, bulk density, and atmospheric surface density. There is a sharp transition between the survival and catastrophic fragmentation of comets at a radius of about 150m, which increases with increasing atmospheric surface density and decreasing cometary density. Second, we consider the deposition of mass and kinetic energy in planetary atmospheres during cometary impacts, which determines the strength and duration of any atmospheric response. We demonstrate that mass loss is dominated by fragmentation, not ablation. Small comets deposit their entire mass within a fraction of an atmospheric scale height, at an altitude determined by their initial radius. Large comets lose only a small fraction of their mass to ablation in the lower atmosphere.

arXiv:2503.22667v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Young protoplanetary discs are expected to be gravitationally unstable, which can drive angular momentum transport as well as be a potential mechanism for planet formation. Gravitational instability is most prevalent in the outer disc where cooling timescales are short. At large radii, stellar irradiation makes a significant contribution to disc heating and is expected to suppress instability. In this study, we compare two models of implementing irradiation in 2D hydrodynamic simulations of self-gravitating discs: supplying a constant heating rate per unit mass and per unit area of the disc. In the former case, instability is quenched once the stellar irradiation becomes the dominant heating source. In the latter case, we find instability persists under high levels of irradiation, despite large values of the Toomre Q parameter, in agreement with analytic predictions. Fragmentation was able to occur in this regime with the critical cooling timescale required decreasing as irradiation is increased, corresponding to a maximum threshold for the viscosity parameter: $\alpha\sim0.03-0.09$.

arXiv:2503.20875v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present the Cambridge Exoplanet Transit Recovery Algorithm (CETRA), a fast and sensitive transit detection algorithm, optimised for GPUs. CETRA separates the task into a search for transit signals across linear time space, followed by a phase-folding of the former to enable a periodic signal search, using a physically motivated transit model to improve detection sensitivity. It outperforms traditional methods like Box Least Squares and Transit Least Squares in both sensitivity and speed. Tests on synthetic light curves demonstrate that CETRA can identify at least 20 per cent more low-SNR transits than Transit Least Squares in the same data, particularly those of long period planets. It is also shown to be up to a few orders of magnitude faster for high cadence light curves, enabling rapid large-scale searches. Through application of CETRA to Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite short cadence data, we recover the three planets in the HD 101581 system with improved significance. In particular, the transit signal of the previously unvalidated planet TOI-6276.03 is enhanced from ${\rm SNR}=7.9$ to ${\rm SNR}=16.0$, which means it may now meet the criteria for statistical validation. CETRA's speed and sensitivity make it well-suited for current and future exoplanet surveys, particularly in the search for Earth analogues. Our implementation of this algorithm uses NVIDIA's CUDA platform and requires an NVIDIA GPU, it is open-source and available from GitHub and PyPI.

arXiv:2503.19908v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Planetary systems orbiting M dwarf host stars are promising targets for atmospheric characterisation of low-mass exoplanets. Accurate characterisation of M dwarf hosts is important for detailed understanding of the planetary properties and physical processes, including potential habitability. Recent studies have identified several candidate Hycean planets orbiting nearby M dwarfs as promising targets in the search for habitability and life on exoplanets. In this study, we characterise two such M dwarf host stars, K2-18 and TOI-732. Using archival photometric and spectroscopic observations, we estimate their effective temperatures (T$_{\mathrm{eff}}$) and metallicities through high-resolution spectral analyses and ages through gyrochronology. We assess the stellar activity of the targets by analysing activity-sensitive chromospheric lines and X-ray luminosities. Additionally, we predict activity cycles based on measured rotation periods and utilise photometric data to estimate the current stellar activity phase. We find K2-18 to be 2.9-3.1 Gyr old with T$_{\mathrm{eff}}$ = 3645$\pm$52 K and metallicity of [Fe/H] = 0.10$\pm$0.12 dex, and TOI-732 to be older (6.7-8.6 Gyr), cooler (3213$\pm$92 K), and more metal-rich ([Fe/H] = 0.22$\pm$0.13 dex). Both stars exhibit relatively low activity making them favourable for atmospheric observations of their planets. The predicted activity cycle and analysis of available high-precision photometry for K2-18 suggest that it might have been near an activity minimum during recent JWST observations, though some residual activity may be expected at such minima. We predict potential activity levels for both targets to aid future observations, and highlight the importance of accurate characterisation of M dwarf host stars for exoplanet characterisation.

arXiv:2503.18127v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent JWST observations of the Fomalhaut debris disk have revealed a significant abundance of dust interior to the outer planetesimal belt, raising questions about its origin and maintenance. In this study, we apply an analytical model to the Fomalhaut system, that simulates the dust distribution interior to a planetesimal belt, as collisional fragments across a range of sizes are dragged inward under Poynting-Robertson (PR) drag. We generate spectral energy distributions and synthetic JWST/MIRI images of the model disks, and perform an extensive grid search for particle parameters -- pertaining to composition and collisional strength -- that best match the observations. We find that a sound fit can be found for particle properties that involve a substantial water ice component, around 50--80% by total volume, and a catastrophic disruption threshold, $Q_D^\star$, at a particle size of $D\!\approx\!30\,$um of 2--4$\,\times\,10^6\,$erg/g. Based on the expected dynamical depletion of migrating dust by an intervening planet we discount planets with masses $>1\,M_\mathrm{Saturn}$ beyond $\sim50\,$au in the extended disk, though a planet shepherding the inner edge of the outer belt of up to $\sim2\,M_\mathrm{Saturn}$ is reconcilable with the PR-drag-maintained disk scenario, contingent upon higher collisional strengths. These results indicate that PR drag transport from the outer belt alone can account for the high interior dust contents seen in the Fomalhaut system, which may thus constitute a common phenomenon in other belt-bearing systems. This establishes a framework for interpreting mid-planetary system dust around other stars, with our results for Fomalhaut providing a valuable calibration of the models.

arXiv:2503.17364v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The detection of young transiting exoplanets represents a new frontier in our understanding of planet formation and evolution. For the population of observed close-in sub-Neptunes, two proposed formation pathways can reproduce their observed masses and radii at $\sim$Gyr ages: the "gas dwarf" hypothesis and the "water world" hypothesis. We show that a sub-Neptune's size at early ages $\lesssim 100$ Myrs is strongly dependent on the bulk mean molecular weight within its envelope. As a result, gas dwarfs and water worlds should diverge in size at early ages since the mean molecular weight of gas dwarf envelopes is predicted to be smaller than that of water worlds. We construct population models under both scenarios that reproduce Kepler demographics in the age range $\sim1-10$ Gyrs. We find tentative evidence that the gas dwarf model is more consistent with the small population of young exoplanets $< 40$ Myrs from TESS. We show that planet radius is relatively insensitive to planet mass for young, puffy sub-Neptunes, meaning that well-characterised masses are not necessarily required to exploit the effects of mean molecular weight at the population level. We confirm the predicted difference in planet size between the models is also true under mixed-envelope scenarios, in which envelopes consist of mixtures of hydrogen and steam. We highlight that transit surveys of young exoplanets should target the youngest observable stellar clusters to exploit the effects of mean molecular weight.

arXiv:2503.16325v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Chondrules are small spherical objects that formed at high temperatures early in the history of the Solar System. The key compositional characteristics of chondrules may be well explained by high gas pressures in their formation environment (Galy et al. 2000; Alexander et al. 2008). However, such high gas pressures are widely considered astrophysically unreasonable (Ebel et al. 2023). Here, we propose that chondrules were formed via the processing of dust grains in the dust-rich envelopes of planetary embryos, before getting ejected via convective diffusion. We show that this scenario can explain many salient constraints on chondrule formation, including formation locations; mass and timescale of chondrule production; repeat chondrule heating events; heating timescales; and, most crucially, high prevailing gas pressures. Our work suggests that high gas pressures may indeed have prevailed during the formation of chondrules, reconciling previous analytical observations, experimental evidence, and theory. We suggest that chondrules are mostly the products rather than the precursors of planetary embryo formation - a result which would have important implications for our understanding of the early history of the Solar System.

arXiv:2503.10856v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Comparative studies of young and old exoplanet populations offer a glimpse into how planets may form and evolve with time. We present an occurrence rate study of short-period ($<$12 days) planets between 1.8--10 Rearth around 1374 FGK stars in nearby (200 pc) young clusters ($<$1 Gyr), utilizing data from the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) mission. These planets represent a population closer to their primordial state. We find that the occurrence rate of young planets is higher ($64^{+32}_{-22}$%) compared to the Gyr-old population observed by \kepler ($7.98^{+0.37}_{-0.35}$%). Dividing our sample into bins of young (10--100 Myr) and intermediate (100\,Myr--1 Gyr) ages, we also find that the occurrence distribution in orbital period remains unchanged while the distribution in planet radius changes with time. Specifically, the radius distribution steepens with age, indicative of a larger planet population shrinking due to the atmospheric thermal cooling and mass loss. We also find evidence for an increase (1.9$\sigma$) in occurrence after 100 Myr, possibly due to tidal migration driving planets inside of 12 days. While evidence suggests post-disk migration and atmospheric mass loss shape the population of short-period planets, more detections of young planets are needed to improve statistical comparisons with older planets. Detecting long-period young planets and planets $<$1.8 Rearth will help us understand these processes better. Additionally, studying young planetary atmospheres provides insights into planet formation and the efficiency of atmospheric mass loss mechanisms on the evolution of planetary systems.

arXiv:2503.01957v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Late infall events challenge the traditional view that planet formation occurs without external influence. Here we present deep ALMA $^{12}$CO $J=2-1$ and SO $J_{N}=5_6-4_5$ observations toward AB Aurigae, a Class II disk system with strong signs of gravitational instability and ongoing planet formation. By applying Keplerian and anti-Keplerian masks, we separate disk-like and non-disk-like motions of $^{12}$CO, considering the two outputs as the 'disk' and 'exo-disk' (out of disk) emission components, respectively. The disk component of $^{12}$CO extends to $\sim 1600$ au in radius and exhibits a stunningly rich architecture of global spiral structure. The exo-disk emission consists predominantly of three spiral structures -- S1, S2 and S3 -- whose projections are co-spatial with the disk. We successfully reproduce their trajectories with a ballistic accretion flow model, finding that S1 and S2 (both redshifted) are infalling toward the disk from in front, and S3 (blueshifted) is infalling from behind. Where the terminal ends of S1 and S2 become indistinguishable from the disk, we observe a brightness peak in SO emission $2.5\times$ the azimuthal average of a background SO ring. This merging zone lies within a relatively confined region $15-100$ degrees east of north, and between $\sim150-300$ au from the star, at scales relevant to where planet candidates have been previously identified. The AB Aur system provides a unified picture of late infall inducing replenishment of the disk, triggering gravitational instability, and modifying the conditions of forming planets.

arXiv:2502.18651v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this second paper on the variability survey of central stars of planetary nebulae (CSPNe) using ZTF, we focus on the 11 long-timescale variables with variability timescales ranging from months to years. We also present preliminary analyses based on spectroscopic and/or photometric follow-up observations for six of them. Among them is NGC 6833, which shows a 980 day periodic variability with strange characteristics: 'triangle-shaped' brightening in $r$, $i$, and WISE bands but almost coincidental shallow dips in the $g$-band. We speculate this to be a wide but eccentric binary with the same orbital period. Long-period near-sinusoidal variability was detected in two other systems, NGC 6905 and Kn 26, with periods of 700 days and 230 days, respectively, making them additional wide-binary candidates. The latter also shows a short period at 1.18 hours which can either be from a close inner binary or pulsational origin. We present CTSS 2 and PN K 3-5 which show brightening and significant reddening over the whole ZTF baseline. A stellar model fit to the optical spectrum of CTSS 2 reveals it to be one of the youngest post-AGB CSPN known. Both show high-density emission-line cores. These appear to be late thermal pulse candidates, currently evolving towards the AGB phase, though alternative explanations are possible. We then present recent HST/COS ultraviolet spectroscopy of the known wide-binary candidate LoTr 1 showing that the hot star is a spectroscopic twin of the extremely hot white dwarf in UCAC2 46706450. We think that the long photometric period of 11 years is the binary orbital period. Finally, we briefly discuss the ZTF light curves of the remaining variables, namely Tan 2, K 3-20, WHTZ 3, Kn J1857+3931, and IPHAS J1927+0814. With these examples, we present the effectiveness of the von Neumann statistics and Pearson Skew-based metric space in searching for long-timescale variables.

arXiv:2502.12234v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Atmospheric characterisation of temperate sub-Neptunes is the new frontier of exoplanetary science with recent JWST observations of possible Hycean world K2-18b. Accurate modelling of atmospheric processes is essential to interpreting high-precision spectroscopic data given the wide range of possible conditions in the sub-Neptune regime, including on potentially habitable planets. Notably, convection is an important process which can operate in different modes across sub-Neptune conditions. Convection can act very differently in atmospheres with a high condensible mass fraction (non-dilute atmospheres) or with a lighter background gas, e.g. water convection in a H$_2$-rich atmosphere, and can be much weaker or even shut down entirely in the latter case. We present a new mass-flux scheme which can capture these variations and simulate convection over a wide range of parameter space for use in 3D general circulation models (GCMs). We validate our scheme for two representative cases, a terrestrial-like atmosphere and a mini-Neptune atmosphere. In the terrestrial case, considering TRAPPIST-1e with an Earth-like atmosphere, the model performs near-identically to Earth-tuned models in an Earth-like convection case. In the mini-Neptune case, considering the bulk properties of K2-18b and assuming a deep H$_2$-rich atmosphere, we demonstrate the capability of the scheme to reproduce non-condensing convection. We find convection occurring at pressures greater than 0.3 bar and the dynamical structure shows high-latitude prograde jets. Our convection scheme will aid in the 3D climate modelling of a wide range of exoplanet atmospheres, and enable further exploration of temperate sub-Neptune atmospheres.

arXiv:2502.07872v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent detections of carbon-bearing molecules in the atmosphere of a candidate Hycean world, K2-18 b, with JWST are opening the prospects for characterising potential biospheres on temperate exoplanets. Hycean worlds are a recently theorised class of habitable exoplanets with ocean covered surfaces and hydrogen-rich atmospheres. Hycean planets are thought to be conducive for hosting microbial life under conditions similar to those in the Earth's oceans. In the present work we investigate the potential for biological evolution on Hycean worlds and their dependence on the thermodynamic conditions. We find that a large range of evolutionary rates and origination times are possible for unicellular life in oceanic environments for a relatively marginal range in environmental conditions. For example, a relatively small (10 K) increase in the average ocean temperature can lead to over twice the evolutionary rates, with key unicellular groups originating as early as $\sim$1.3 billion years from origin of life. On the contrary, similar decreases in temperatures can also significantly delay the origination times by several billion years. This delay in turn could affect their observable biomarkers such as dimethylsulfide, which is known to be produced predominantly by Eukaryotic marine phytoplankton in Earth's oceans. Therefore, Hycean worlds that are significantly cooler than Earth may be expected to host simpler microbial life than Earth's oceans and may show weaker biosignatures, unless they orbit significantly older stars than the Sun. Conversely, Hycean worlds with warmer surface temperatures than Earth are more likely to show stronger atmospheric biosignatures due to microbial life if present.